Improved Seasonal Prediction of Winter NAO through Ensemble Sub-sampling.

Mikhail Dobrynin1, Daniela Domeisen2, Wolfgang A. Müller3, Louisa Bell3, Sebastian Brune1, André Düsterhus1, Kristina Fröhlich4, Holger Pohlmann3 and Johanna Baehr1, (1)Institute of Oceanography, Center for Earth System Research and Sustainability (CEN), Universität Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany, (2)ETH Zurich, Dep. of Environmental Systems Science, Zurich, Switzerland, (3)Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany, (4)Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD), Offenbach am Main, Germany