Improved Seasonal Prediction of Winter NAO through Ensemble Sub-sampling.

Mikhail Dobrynin1, Daniela Domeisen2, Wolfgang A. Müller3, Louisa Bell3, Sebastian Brune4, André Düsterhus1, Kristina Fröhlich5, Holger Pohlmann3 and Johanna Baehr6, (1)Institute of Oceanography, Center for Earth System Research and Sustainability (CEN), Universität Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany, (2)University of Lausanne, Lausanne, Switzerland, (3)Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany, (4)Universität Hamburg, Institute of Oceanography, Center for Earth System Research and Sustainability (CEN), Hamburg, Germany, (5)Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD), Offenbach am Main, Germany, (6)Institute of Oceanography, Center for Earth System Research and Sustainability (CEN), University of Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany