OM004:
Ensemble Modeling Approaches in Physical and Biogeochemical Oceanography


Session ID#: 28471

Session Description:
Ensemble modeling methods have been applied to a wide range of oceanographic and climate questions since their original application in numerical weather preduction several decades ago.  Such applications currenty encompass not only climate projections (pertaining to detection and time of emergence) and predictability/prediction studies, but also forecast modeling (operational oceanography) and data assimilation.  Additionally, ensemble methods are applied to physical state variables, ocean biogeochemistry, and potential ocean ecosystem stressors.  As such, the range of applications informs and facilitates collaborative efforts in both the interpretation of an assimilation of observational records.

This session welcomes studies that employ ensemble methods in a wide range of applications relevant to physical and biogeochemical oceanography and the role of the ocean in the climate system.  Abstracts are particularly welcomed that focus on the interplay between ocean physical and biogeochemical processes, proceses in high-latitude environments, and studies of marine ecosystems under a changing climate.

Primary Chair:  Keith B Rodgers, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States
Co-chairs:  Thomas L Froelicher, Universtity of Bern, Climate and Environmental Physics, Bern, Switzerland, Tatiana Ilyina, Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany and Nicole S Lovenduski, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO, United States
Index Terms:
Cross-Topics:
  • BN - Biogeochemistry and Nutrients
  • HE - High Latitude Environments
  • PC - Past, Present and Future Climate

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

Thierry Penduff1, Sally E Close2, Stephanie Leroux2, Ixetl Garcia-Gomez2, Guillaume Serazin2,3, Laurent Bessières4, Jean Marc Molines1, Bernard Barnier1 and Laurent Terray4, (1)CNRS - IGE, MEOM, Grenoble, France, (2)IGE, MEOM, Grenoble, France, (3)LEGOS/IRD, Toulouse, France, (4)CERFACS, Toulouse, France
Dian Putrasahan, Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany and Jin-Song von Storch, Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Ocean, Hamburg, Germany
Aaron Spring, Hongmei Li and Tatiana Ilyina, Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany
Sarah Schlunegger1, Keith B Rodgers1, Jorge L Sarmiento2, John P Dunne3 and Thomas L Froelicher4, (1)Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States, (2)Princeton University, Atmosphere and Ocean Sciences, Princeton, NJ, United States, (3)Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, NJ, United States, (4)Universtity of Bern, Climate and Environmental Physics, Bern, Switzerland
Mikhail Dobrynin1, Daniela I. V. Domeisen2, Wolfgang A Müller3, Louisa Bell3, Sebastian Brune1, André Düsterhus1, Kristina Fröhlich4, Holger Pohlmann3 and Johanna Baehr1, (1)Institute of Oceanography, Center for Earth System Research and Sustainability (CEN), Universität Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany, (2)Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH, Zurich, Switzerland, (3)Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany, (4)Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD), Offenbach am Main, Germany
Yohei Takano and Tatiana Ilyina, Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany
Marie Drevillon1, Clement Bricaud2, Yann Drillet2, Karina von Schuckmann3, Gilles Garric2, Simona Masina4, Andrea Storto5, Laura C Jackson6, Clotilde Dubois7, Andrew Peterson6, Richard A. Wood8, Hao Zuo9, Balmaseda Magdalena9, Sandrine Mulet10, Stéphanie Guinehut11, Tanguy Szekely12, Jérôme Gourrion13, Laurent Parent14, Charles Desportes7 and Charly Regnier2, (1)Mercator Océan, Ramonville St Agne, France, (2)Mercator Océan, Ramonville Saint Agne, France, (3)Mercator Océan, Ramonville-Saint-Agne, France, (4)CMCC - Bologna, Bologna, Italy, (5)Euro Mediterranean Center on Climate Change, Italy, (6)Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, United Kingdom, (7)Mercator Océan, France, (8)Met Office Hadley center for Climate Change, Exeter, United Kingdom, (9)ECMWF, Reading, United Kingdom, (10)CLS Collecte Localisation Satellites, Plouzané, France, (11)Collecte Localisation Satellites (CLS), Ramonville Saint‑Agne, France, (12)CORIOLIS, Brest, France, (13)CORIOLIS, France, (14)Mercator Océan, Ramonville Saint Agn, France
Hongmei Li and Tatiana Ilyina, Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany
Robin Waldman, Centre National de Recherches Meteorologiques (CNRM), Meteo France/CNRS, Toulouse, France, Samuel Somot, CNRM (Météo-France and CNRS), Toulouse, France, Marine Julie Herrmann, LEGOS laboratory, Toulouse, France and Florence Sevault, CNRM / Météo-France, Toulouse, France
Jaime Miguel De La Hoz Navarro1, Roshanka Ranasinghe2 and Johan Reyns2, (1)Uppsala University, Department of Earth Sciences, Uppsala, Sweden, (2)IHE Delft Institute for Water Education, Department of Water Sciences and Engineering, Delft, Netherlands
Marion Gehlen, Institut Pierre Simon Laplace, LSCE, Gif-sur-Yvette Cedex, France, Sarah Berthet, CNRM (Météo-France/CNRS), Climate Research Group, Toulouse, France, Roland Seferian, CNRM (Météo-France/CNRS), Climate research group, Toulouse, France, Thierry Penduff, CNRS - LGGE, MEOM, Grenoble, France and Christian Ethe, Institut Pierre Simon Laplace, LOCEAN/CNRS, Paris, France
Keith B Rodgers1, Thomas L Froelicher2, Sarah Schlunegger1, Masao Ishii3, Andrea J Fassbender4, Yves Plancherel5, Richard Slater6 and Katsuya Toyama7, (1)Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States, (2)Princeton Univ, Princeton, NJ, United States, (3)Geochemical Research Dept, Ibaraki, Japan, (4)Monterey Bay Aquarium Research Institute, Moss Landing, CA, United States, (5)University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom, (6)Princeton University, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Princeton, NJ, United States, (7)Meteorological Research Institute, Japan Meteorological Agency, Tsukuba, Japan
Stephen Gregory Penny, University of Maryland, College Park, MD, United States
Nguyen Thi Thai Hoa, University of Strathclyde, Mathematics and Statistics, Glasgow, United Kingdom and Neil Banas, University of Strathclyde, Glasgow, United Kingdom
Yassir Eddebbar, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, CA, United States, Keith B Rodgers, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States, Matthew C Long, NCAR, Boulder, CO, United States and Ralph F Keeling, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, UCSD, La Jolla, CA, United States

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