S23B:
Foreshocks and Their Predictive Value: Insights from Recent Observations, Lab Experiments, Numerical Simulations, and Prospective Forecasting Experiments II Posters

Tuesday, 16 December 2014: 1:40 PM-6:00 PM
Chairs:  Maximilian J Werner, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States and Jiancang Zhuang, ISM Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tokyo, Japan
Primary Conveners:  Maximilian J Werner, University of Bristol, School of Earth Sciences and Cabot Institute, Bristol, United Kingdom; Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States
Co-conveners:  Jiancang Zhuang, ISM Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tokyo, Japan
OSPA Liaisons:  Maximilian J Werner, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

 
A Global Overview of Short-Term Foreshocks and Their Predictive Value
Gerassimos A Papadopoulos1, Markos Avlonitis2, Boris Di Fiore1 and George Minadakis1, (1)National Observatory of Athens, Athens, Greece, (2)Ionian University, Department of Informatics, Corfu, Greece
 
Computational Software for Fitting Seismic Data to Epidemic-Type Aftershock Sequence Models
Annie Chu, Organization Not Listed, Washington, DC, United States; Woodbury University, Mathematics, Burbank California, United States
 
Systematic detection of seismic activity before recent large earthquakes in China
Zhigang Peng1, Baoshan Wang2, Xiang Ruan3, Xiaofeng Meng1, Tu Hongwei4, Feng Long3 and Jinrong Su3, (1)Georgia Tech, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Atlanta, GA, United States, (2)IGP Institute of Geophysics, China Earthquake Administration, Beijing, China, (3)Sichuan Seismological Bureau, Chengdu, China, (4)Earthquake Administration of Qinghai Province, Xining, China
 
Nucleation process of an M2 earthquake in a deep gold mine in South Africa inferred from on-fault foreshock activity
Yasuo Yabe1,2, Masao Nakatani2,3, Makoto Naoi2,4, Joachim Philipp5, Christoph Janssen6, Hironori Kawakata2,7, Georg H Dresen6 and Hiroshi Ogasawara2, (1)Tohoku University, Sendai, Japan, (2)SATREPS, Tokyo, Japan, (3)University of Tokyo, Bunkyo-ku, Japan, (4)Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan, (5)GMuG Gesellschaft für Materialprüfung und Geophysik mbH, Bad Nauheim, Germany, (6)Helmholtz Centre Potsdam GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Potsdam, Germany, (7)Ritsumeikan University, Kusatsu Shiga, Japan
 
Significant foreshock activities of M>7.5 earthquakes in the Kuril subduction zone
Tomoya Harada1, Sayoko Yokoi2 and Kenji Satake2, (1)Interfaculty Initiative for Information Studies & Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, (2)Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
 
Analysis of foreshock sequences in California - implications of foreshock triggering process
Xiaowei Chen, WHOI, Woods Hole, MA, United States and Peter M Shearer, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, United States
 
STRESS CONCENTRATION PHENOMENON BEFORE THE 2011 M9.0 TOHOKU-OKI EARTHQUAKE: ITS IMPLICATION FOR EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION
Yong-Qing Zhang and Fu-Ren Xie, Institute of Crustal Dynamics, China Earthquake Administration, Beijing, China
 
Friction Laws Based on Monotonic and Cyclic Rotary Shear Tests
Chun Jung Lai1, Jia-Jyun Dong1, Tetsuhiro Togo2, Che-Ming Yang1, Chyi-Tyi Lee1 and Toshihiko Shimamoto3, (1)NCU National Central University of Taiwan, Jhongli, Taiwan, (2)Seismotectonics Research Group, Institute of Earthquake and Volcano Geology, National Institute of Advanced Industrial Science and Technology, Tsukuba, Japan, (3)Institute of Geology, China Earthquake Administration, Beijing, China
 
Laboratory investigation into foreshock sequences and their relation to nucleation processes on a frictional fault
Paul A Selvadurai and Steven D Glaser, University of California Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, United States
 
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