SH43C
Scientific Aspects of Space Weather Forecasting I

Thursday, 17 December 2015: 13:40-15:40
2011 (Moscone West)
Primary Conveners:  Anthony J Mannucci, Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, CA, United States
Conveners:  Tamas I Gombosi, Univ of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, United States and Spiro K Antiochos, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States
Chairs:  Anthony J Mannucci, Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, CA, United States, Spiro K Antiochos, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States and Tamas I Gombosi, Univ of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, United States
OSPA Liaisons:  Anthony J Mannucci, Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, CA, United States
13:40
Open issues in connecting magnetospheric dynamics to their solar drivers (Invited) (59881)
Angelos Vourlidas, Applied Physics Laboratory Johns Hopkins, Space Department, Laurel, MD, United States
13:58
Modeling AWSoM CMEs with EEGGL: A New Approach for Space Weather Forecasting (Invited) (59961)
Meng Jin1,2, Ward Manchester3, Bart van der Holst3, Igor Sokolov3, Gabor Toth3, Angelos Vourlidas4, Curt A de Koning5 and Tamas I Gombosi6, (1)Lockheed Martin Solar and Astrophysics Laboratory, Palo Alto, CA, United States, (2)University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, United States, (3)University of Michigan Ann Arbor, Ann Arbor, MI, United States, (4)Applied Physics Laboratory Johns Hopkins, Space Department, Laurel, MD, United States, (5)University of Colorado at Boulder, Boulder, CO, United States, (6)Univ of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, United States
14:16
Determination of the North-South Heliospheric Magnetic-Field Component from Inner-Corona Closed-Loop Propagation (61120)
Bernard V Jackson1, Hsiu-Shan Yu1, P. Paul Hick1, Andrew Buffington1, Mario Mark Bisi2, Munetoshi Tokumaru3, Jaehun Kim4, Sunhak Hong4, Bowon Lee5, Jonghyuk Yi5 and Jongyeon Yun5, (1)University of California San Diego, Center for Astrophysics and Space Science, La Jolla, CA, United States, (2)Rutherford Appleton Laboratory, Didcot, United Kingdom, (3)Nagoya University, Nagoya, Japan, (4)Korean Space Weather Center, Jeju-Si, South Korea, (5)Space Environment Laboratory, 150-gil, Gangnam-gu, Seoul, South Korea
14:28
The symmetry and mass of halo Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) as quantitative predictors for severe space weather at Earth. (76664)
Lewis Edward Freeland, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
14:40
Magnetospheric Effects on High Energy Solar Particles: PAMELA Measurements (Invited) (60488)
Georgia Adair de Nolfo, NASA Goddard Space Flight Ctr, Greenbelt, MD, United States
14:58
Ring Current Pressure Estimation withRAM-SCB using Data Assimilation and VanAllen Probe Flux Data (74453)
Humberto C Godinez1, Yiqun Yu2, Michael G Henderson1, Brian Larsen3 and Vania Jordanova1, (1)Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM, United States, (2)Beihang University, Beijing, China, (3)The New Mexico Consortium, Los Alamos, NM, United States
15:10
Which Solar and Geomagnetic Drivers Control Earth's Upper Atmosphere Thermostat? (Invited) (58830)
Delores Knipp1, Martin G Mlynczak2, Ryan Michael McGranaghan1 and Liam M Kilcommons1, (1)University of Colorado at Boulder, Boulder, CO, United States, (2)NASA Langley Research Ctr, Hampton, VA, United States
15:28
Quantifying Total Electron Content Forecasts during Ionospheric Storms (65064)
Xing Meng1, Anthony J Mannucci1, Olga P Verkhoglyadova2 and Bruce Tsurutani2, (1)Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, CA, United States, (2)NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, CA, United States