SM13F
Fifty Years of Space Weather Forecasting: Highlighting the Science, Behind the Societal Relevance I

Monday, 14 December 2015: 13:40-15:40
3014 (Moscone West)
Primary Conveners:  Delores Knipp, University of Colorado at Boulder, Boulder, CO, United States
Conveners:  Howard J Singer, NOAA-Space Weather Prediction Center, Boulder, CO, United States, Michael A Hapgood, Science and Technology Facilities Council, Didcot, OX11, United Kingdom and Scott William Mcintosh, High Altitude Observatory, Boulder, CO, United States
Chairs:  Howard J Singer, NOAA Boulder, Boulder, CO, United States and Delores Knipp, University of Colorado at Boulder, Boulder, CO, United States
OSPA Liaisons:  Scott William Mcintosh, High Altitude Observatory, Boulder, CO, United States
13:40
Fifty Years of Space Weather Forecasting from Boulder (Invited) (58763)
Thomas E Berger, NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center, Boulder, CO, United States
13:56
Simplified solutions to predicting the magnetic vectors within CMEs. (Invited) (59148)
Neel Savani, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States; University of Maryland Baltimore County, Baltimore, MD, United States
14:12
Forecasting the Radiation Belts for Satellites Undergoing Electric-Orbit Raising (Invited) (69575)
Richard Bertram Horne, British Antarctic Survey, Cambridge, United Kingdom
14:28
Forecasting Thermosphere Density: an Overview (Invited) (59401)
Sean Bruinsma, CNES, Toulouse, France
14:44
Forecasting keV-electrons in the inner Earth's magnetosphere responsible for surface charging (75150)
Natalia Y Ganushkina1,2, Stepan Dubyagin2, Ilkka Sillanpaa2 and David A Pitchford3, (1)University of Michigan Ann Arbor, Ann Arbor, MI, United States, (2)Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland, (3)Power/Thermal Subsystems & Spacecraft Survivability, SES, Chateau de Betzdorf, Luxembourg
14:58
An Ensemble Approach to Extreme Space Weather Event Probability -- A First Look (84539)
Seth Jonas, Science and Technology Policy Institute, Washington, DC, United States
15:12
Nowcasting Ground Magnetic Perturbations with the Space Weather Modeling Framework (81919)
Daniel T Welling, University of Michigan Ann Arbor, Ann Arbor, MI, United States
15:26
Modeling the Ionosphere-Thermosphere-Electrodynamics System for Space Weather Specifications, Forecasts and Applications (59635)
Robert Walter Schunk1, Ludger Scherliess1, Vince Eccles1, Larry C Gardner1, Jan Josef Sojka1, Lie Zhu1, Xiaoqing Pi2, Anthony J Mannucci3, Mark D Butala3, Brian D Wilson3, Attila Komjathy2, Chunming Wang4 and Gary Rosen4, (1)Utah State University, Logan, UT, United States, (2)NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, CA, United States, (3)Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, CA, United States, (4)University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, United States