SA12A:
Advances in Ionospheric Forecasting: Modeling, Observations, and Validation I

Monday, 15 December 2014: 10:20 AM-12:20 PM
Chairs:  Dastgeer Shaikh, Northrop Grumman Corporation Bellevue, Bellevue, NE, United States and James C Jones, Northrop Grumman Corporation Bellevue, Bellevue, NE, United States
Primary Conveners:  Dastgeer Shaikh, Northrop Grumman Corporation Bellevue, Bellevue, NE, United States
Co-conveners:  James C Jones, Northrop Grumman Corporation Bellevue, Bellevue, NE, United States and Rodney A Viereck, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/SWPC, Boulder, CO, United States
OSPA Liaisons:  Dastgeer Shaikh, Northrop Grumman Corporation Bellevue, Bellevue, NE, United States

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

10:20 AM
 
Ionospheric Data Assimilation from a Data Provider’s Perspective
Robert K Schaefer1, Larry J Paxton1, Gary Bust2, Yongliang Zhang1, Giuseppe Romeo3, Joseph Comberiate4 and Lynette J Gelinas5, (1)The Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory, Laurel, MD, United States, (2)John Hopkins University-Applied Physics Laboratory, Laurel, MD, United States, (3)Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Lab, Abingdon, MD, United States, (4)JHU/APL, Laurel, MD, United States, (5)The Aerospace Corporation, Los Angeles, CA, United States
10:35 AM
 
Global Real-Time Nowcasting of Ionosphere with Giro-Driven Assimilative IRI
Ivan A Galkin1, Bodo W Reinisch1,2, Xueqin A Huang2, Artem Vesnin1, Dieter Bilitza3 and Paul Song1, (1)Univ Massachusetts Lowell, Lowell, MA, United States, (2)Lowell Digisonde International, Lowell, MA, United States, (3)George Mason University, Washington, DC, United States
10:50 AM
 
Forecasting the Ionosphere Driven by Solar, Geomagnetic, and Lower Atmosphere Disturbances
Timothy J Fuller-Rowell1, Mihail Codrescu2, Tzu-Wei Fang3, Houjun Wang1, Rashid A Akmaev4, Fei Wu1, Mariangel Fedrizzi5, Juan M Fontenla6 and John Michael Retterer7, (1)Univ of Colorado-CIRES, Boulder, CO, United States, (2)SWPC/NOAA, Boulder, CO, United States, (3)University of Colorado at Boulder, Boulder, CO, United States, (4)NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center, Boulder, CO, United States, (5)NOAA/SWPC-Univ. Colorado/CIRES, Boulder, CO, United States, (6)NorthWest Research Associates Boulder, Erie, CO, United States, (7)Boston Coll-Scientific Rsrch, Chestnut Hill, MA, United States
11:05 AM
 
The USU-GAIM Data Assimilation Models for Ionospheric Specifications and Forecasts
Ludger Scherliess1,2, Robert Walter Schunk2, Larry C Gardner3, Lie Zhu2 and Jan Josef Sojka2, (1)Center for Atmospheric and Space Sciences, Logan, UT, United States, (2)Utah State University, Logan, UT, United States, (3)Utah State Univ, Logan, UT, United States
11:20 AM
 
Sun-Burned: Space Weather's Impact on United States National Security
Bradley Stebbins, HQ AFWA/XOGX, Offutt AFB, NE, United States
11:30 AM
 
FUSION++: A New Data Assimilative Model for Electron Density Forecasting
Gary S Bust1, Joseph Comberiate1, Larry J Paxton1, Mike Kelly1 and Seebany Datta-Barua2, (1)The Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory, Laurel, MD, United States, (2)Illinois Institute of Technology, Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering, Chicago, IL, United States
11:40 AM
 
Forecasting Solar UV & F10.7 with ADAPT
Carl J Henney, Air Force Research Laboratory Kirtland AFB, Kirtland AFB, NM, United States, Rachel A Hock, USAF/AFRL, Albuquerque, NM, United States, W. Alex Toussaint, National Solar Observatory, Tucson, AZ, United States, Alicia K. Schooley, University of Erlangen-Nuremberg, Erlangen, Germany, Charles Nickolos Arge, AFRL/RVBXS, Kirtland Afb, NM, United States and Stephen M White, Air Force Research Laboratory, Albuquerque, NM, United States
11:50 AM
 
Forecasting Ionospheric Space Weather Due To High Speed Streams
Anthony J Mannucci1, Olga P Verkhoglyadova2, Xing Meng1, Bruce T. Tsurutani2, Xiaoqing Pi2, Erin Michelle Lynch3, Surja Sharma3, Aaron J Ridley4, Ward Manchester5, Chunming Wang6 and Gary Rosen6, (1)Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, CA, United States, (2)NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, CA, United States, (3)University of Maryland College Park, Montgomery Village, MD, United States, (4)Univ Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, United States, (5)University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, United States, (6)University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, United States
12:00 PM
 
A Statistical Comparison of Coupled Thermosphere-Ionosphere Models
Lucas R Liuzzo, Georgia Institute of Technology Main Campus, Atlanta, GA, United States
12:10 PM
 
Validation of High Frequency (HF) Propagation Prediction Models in the Arctic region
Racheal Athieno and Periyadan T Jayachandran, University of New Brunswick, Fredericton, NB, Canada
 
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